Monday, August 27, 2007

I am a score prediction genius, plus some made up stats


First of all, let's all take a moment and realize how awesome it is that I nailed the final score of the Eagles' game in my Friday prediction. The chances of doing that are like 1 in a 1,000; and that's a statistic I just made up.

Speaking of made up statistics, I created this weird little metric that I use during football season called "negative yells per player". It's real simple to use- just keep track of how many times per game you vocalize displeasure with a player's performance by yelling their name is disgust. You don't even have to count, really; after a few games, you'll notice a pattern of who keeps invoking your ire. Here are the Eagles preseason leaders in NYPP-

Sean Considine
He leads in NYPP by a wide margin; it's not even close. He's only effective when he is unblocked and not seen by offensive players. So unless he can turn invisible and intangible, he shouldn't be the starter at strong safety. Quentin Mikell has to be better for the role than Considine.

The only nice plays he had last night were coming in untouched on blitzes. He can't tackle anyone larger than a Teddy Ruxpin doll (though he magically led the Eagles in tackles last night), and is flat-out missing in pass coverage. Again, his only hope of being effective is developing superpowers before the opener in Green Bay. Let's all hope he does.

Chris Gocong
He has to be better Dhani Jones, right? Right??? Because it doesn't look like he is yet. He looks lost in pass coverage and takes strange angles of pursuit. He looks like someone who has never played linebacker before, which is basically true since he was a DE in college and missed last season with the Eagles. He's got 13 days to learn where to be on the field.

Thomas Tapeh
Surprised to see a fullback on here? Don't be, you easily surprised person. Tapeh is a slightly below average receiver who is a non-factor as a runner. Therefore, his main purpose is to block. He does an okay job in run blocking, but is often out of position when asked to pass block, which may get McNabb maimed even further this season.

Reggie Brown
How much did Dante Stallworth want to stick around? Oh, that much? It would have been worth it, unless Brown really steps up soon.

Conversely, there is also the PYPP, or positive yells per player, stat. These are for when a player does something nice and you yell their name out in delight (in a non-sexual way). The leaders here for the preseason are-

Sheldon Brown
Even I think the stat I made up is a little misleading in this case. Sheldon makes some really nice plays, but is also visibly out of position a little too often. Still, I likes him.

Jeremiah Trotter
Whoops, next...

Donovan McNabb
The man looks ready to play.

Mike Patterson
Hopefully his obvious improvement from last season isn't just a preseason thing.

No comments: